Our Track Record 2004  
This section shows the average profits made from trades for the past twelve years.

For credit spread trades an average has been taken when both upside and downside trades have been placed within the same expiration cycle. For example a cycle may have seen upside trades see a profit of 20% while the downside trades saw profits of 23%. Because of this average the percentage increase for the cycle would be 21.5%.

Both cash and Futures Short Sell trades have been halted as they are now only for private account hedge fund trading.  Trade profits listed below are from what current public subscribers have reported with an average taken.

Technical Mid cycle Trades		Regular Trades		Conservative Trades		Short Sells
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996	42% 23% 8% 56% 40% 20% None 259%   66% 108% 163%	2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990	69% 76% 94% 152% 85% 58% Conservative 68%   43% 188% 169%   93%   79% 177% 112% 162% 166%	2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990	58% 58% 57% 118% 73% 60% 82% 58% 79% 82% 99% 76% 89% Regular Regular Regular Regular	2001 2000 1999 1998	Now only in hedge funds 70% 71%

 

E-mini Outright Sell Futures Trades Profits

Technical - Mid cycle trades	Regular Trades	Conservative Trades
2006 40%	2006 73%	2006 56%
2005 42%	2005 62$	2005 43%
2004 38%	2004 55%	2004 39%
2003 53%	2003 133%	2003 103%
2002 121%	2002 193%	2002 114%
	2001 65%	2001 74%
	2000 83%	2000 83%
	1999 127%	1999 77%
	1998 3-mths 93%	1998 3-mths 16%

 

 

All trades are added together here as the margins can be the same when you have both the upside and downside trades on. Option outright sells are calculated with an average margin of $3000.00 per contract and cash option spreads with a $500.00 per contract basis minus credit. We do not include interest profits on credit taken. (Margin estimates are based on the average subscribers account requirements.)

If you would like a more detailed look at the last cycles trade prices please let us know.

Copyright c 1996,1997, 1998, 1999 2000, 2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007. All rights reserved. The information contained in the AGORA OUTLOOK NEWSLETTER is based upon data that is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed, and subject to change without notice. All projections, forecasts, opinions, and track records cannot be guaranteed to equal our past performance. Persons reading this newsletter are responsible for their actions. Officers and employees of this publication may at times have a position in the securities mentioned, or related services